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NEWS, Real Estate

Portugals housing market will continue to be a hot market!

The outlook for Portugal´s housing market highlights the need for decisive action and innovative strategies. Strengthening public housing policies and fostering innovation could create a more balanced market in the future. The success of these initiatives will depend on translating plans into tangible outcomes, ensuring...
01 Mar 2025 3 min reading
Portugals housing market will continue to be a hot market!
Portugal's housing market is facing ongoing challenges as prices are expected to continue rising until at least 2026. Persistent labor shortages, estimated at over 90,000 workers, and rising construction costs, even with stabilized material prices, have contributed to this trend. Since 2015, housing prices have more than doubled, reflecting sustained demand and limited supply.
Between 2015 and 2023, housing prices rose by 105.8%, with the average bank appraisal value increasing by 11% in the first ten months of this year compared to the same period last year. Foreign investors injected more than 2.5 billion euros into the real estate sector in 2024, while net migration added over 155,000 people in the previous year, intensifying demand pressures.
On the supply side, the number of newly licensed housing units in 2024 was just 28,000, falling short of meeting growing demand. Lower interest rates and government initiatives, such as tax exemptions for younger buyers, have further fueled demand. However, administrative delays and setbacks in programs like the Recovery and Resilience Plan (PRR) have exacerbated the supply shortage.
The introduction of the "Construir Portugal" program in 2024 seeks to tackle these issues through fiscal incentives, urban reforms, and support for affordable housing. The 2025 State Budget allocates an additional 2.8 billion euros to accelerate the construction and renovation of social housing, aiming for 59,000 units by 2030. Despite these efforts, analysts caution that the impact will likely materialize only in the medium term, leaving short-term challenges unresolved.
Projections suggest housing prices will continue to rise, even as interest rates stabilize. Future housing market sustainability depends on the successful implementation of policies to boost affordable housing supply. Effective urban planning and coordinated management of public and private resources will be crucial for addressing the population's needs.
Innovative methods, such as modular and industrialized construction, are seen as potential solutions to reduce costs and stabilize prices. Yet, labor shortages and bureaucratic obstacles remain significant risks that could slow progress.
The outlook for Portugal's housing market highlights the need for decisive action and innovative strategies. Strengthening public housing policies and fostering innovation could create a more balanced market in the future. The success of these initiatives will depend on translating plans into tangible outcomes, ensuring that affordable housing becomes accessible to a broader population. Addressing these structural issues is essential to stabilizing the market and meeting growing demand effectively.
 
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